By Jay Kilby: Manny Pacquiao (54-5-2, 38 KO’s) is very confident that he’s going to beat Brandon Rios (31-1-1, 23 KO’s) this month in their fight on November 23rd at the Cotai Arena, Venetian Resort, Macao, Macao S.A.R., China. Pacquiao has scouted out Rios’ fighting style well and he believes that it’s the perfect style for his way of fighting. Traditionally, fighters like Rios are the type that Pacquiao has done well against, and he sees him as someone that he’ll be able to deliver his fast power shots against.
Pacquiao said in his blog “I have seen Rios fight, and I am confident that I will win the fight. One of my advantages is my experience against better opposition…I am 100 percent confident of winning this fight.”
The experience that Pacquiao has against superior opposition can be a good thing and it can also be a negative thing if due to the damage that Pacquiao has taken against the better opposition. Only rare cases has Pacquiao been able to get through his tougher opponents without taking a lot of punishment in the process of winning. When you take a lot of shots to the head the way that Pacquiao has, it wears you down and causes you to become depleted before your time.
I’m not sure if that’s why Pacquiao has started to have problems with his career or not in his last two fights. It could be an age thing. Pacquiao is 34 now, and will be turning 35 in December, and that’s about the age that a fighter gets when he starts showing serious signs of wear and tear.
Roy Jones Jr., an analyst for HBO, thinks that Pacquiao absolutely will need to get Rios out of there as fast as possible on November 23rd if he wants to keep from getting taken out himself. Jones thinks Pacquiao has the speed and power to put Rios on the canvas in this fight, but he’s not sure if he’ll be able to keep him down. Jones sees a knockout either way, but he believes that Pacquiao will end up getting knocked out if he’s unable to get Rios out of there.
Like a lot of older fighters, Pacquiao sees a style that he believes that he will do well against. But what he doesn’t understand is that style suited Pacquiao’s fighting style when he was a young fighter, not the 35-year-old guy he is right now. It might be that Pacquiao is too old to go to war with the 27-year-old Rios. We”re going to find out if that’s the case on November 23rd.