NFL draft expert Mike Mayock believes that Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel won’t be drafted in the top 15 picks of the NFL draft tomorrow [May 8th]. Instead of Manziel being selected in the top 15, Mayock sees UCF quarterback Blake Bortles going at No.11 to the Tennessee Titans. As for the player that will be selected with the No.1 pick, Mayock predicts that the Houston Texans will use their No.1 pick to select South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. That’s a safe pick because Clowney can obviously play at a really high level, and there’s no guesswork involved in selecting him.
Mayock doesn’t say why he doesn’t see Manziel as a player selected in the first 15 picks, but it likely has to do with Manziel’s lack of size, his tendency to run the ball a lot, and his inability to stay in the pocket when making his throws. Teams want a quarterback who will stay in the pocket to complete their passes rather than taking off running the football and rusk injury or turnovers.
Given how small Manziel is at 5’11″ 207, he’ll be risking injury each time he touches the football, and the last thing a team wants is to give up a high draft pick for a player whop will be suffering injuries from running the ball. There are a lot of unknowns with Manziel, and it doesn’t make a lot of sense for teams to be drafting a small guy when they can get a better pocket passer like Bortles in the 1st round.
The Cowboys could use their No.16 pick in the 1st round to select Manziel, and let him sit behind Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo for the next 2-3 seasons. Now isn’t the best time for the Cowboys to be drafting a quarterback, because Romo is still playing at a high enough level to where the Cowboys don’t need Manziel. It would be a waste for them to pick him if it means that he’ll just be sitting.